Africa needs more than $150 billion of infrastructure investment every year, and global capital is not scarce. Yet fewer than 10% of the projects that are initiated reach financial close, and four in five stop at feasibility — long before a lender ever says no.
The same pattern shows up in blended finance: each dollar of public and concessional money still mobilises well under a dollar of private capital. The binding constraint is not the supply of concessional capital. It is the supply of projects structured well enough to absorb it.
Our answer is to do the upstream work to lender standards from day one: a bankable model and risk-allocation matrix, permitting and ESIA to the IFC Performance Standards, and a blended capital stack designed before the mandate — so that public capital funds deployment, not preparation.
What others have found
McKinsey & Company · 2020
Solving Africa’s infrastructure paradoxFinds that fewer than one in ten African infrastructure projects reaches financial close and that four in five fail at the feasibility and business-plan stage — while investors hold ample capital looking for bankable projects.
World Bank · 2017
Preparing bankable infrastructure projectsArgues that the infrastructure gap reflects a shortage of bankable, investment-ready projects rather than of capital, and that bankability is decided during project development, through risk allocation.
Center for Global Development · 2023
Bottlenecks in Africa’s Infrastructure Financing and How to Overcome ThemPuts Africa’s needs at USD 130–170 billion a year with a financing gap of USD 68–108 billion, and names the shortage of bankable projects and under-funded project preparation among the leading bottlenecks.
ODI · 2019
Blended finance in the poorest countries: the need for a better approachEstimates that each dollar invested by multilateral development banks and DFIs mobilises about USD 0.75 of private finance in developing countries, and only USD 0.37 in low-income countries.
International Energy Agency with the African Development Bank · 2023
Financing Clean Energy in AfricaFinds that the cost of capital for energy projects in African countries is at least two to three times higher than in advanced economies, and that about USD 28 billion a year of concessional capital is needed to mobilise USD 90 billion of private investment by 2030.











